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Sligo Rovers W vs Bohemians WFC W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Sligo Rovers W
Sligo Rovers W
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Bohemians WFC W
Bohemians WFC W
C. Howe 90+4' (pen)
N. Prior 58'
K. Scanlon 40' (OG)
A. Robinson 22'
6/17/2023All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 1The Showgrounds

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Sligo Rovers W23%
×Draw22%
Bohemians WFC W55%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sligo Rovers W
1.14
Bohemians WFC W
1.89

Bohemians WFC W creates 66% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 9 away

creates per match

Sligo Rovers W
0.83
Bohemians WFC W
1.11

allows per match

Sligo Rovers W
2.67
Bohemians WFC W
1.44

finishing

Sligo Rovers W+0.00on par
Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sligo Rovers W ↓

Bohemians WFC W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–29%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Sligo Rovers W or draw
45%
Sligo Rovers W or Bohemians WFC W
78%
Draw or Bohemians WFC W
77%

Winning margin

Sligo Rovers W wins by 2+
9%
Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Sligo Rovers W 1+ goals
68%
Sligo Rovers W 2+ goals
32%
Sligo Rovers W 3+ goals
11%
Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals
85%
Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals
56%
Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Sligo Rovers W (draw refunded)
29%
Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sligo Rovers W at home — creates 0.83, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

Bohemians WFC W away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sligo Rovers W attack 0.83 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.14

Bohemians WFC W attack 1.11 + Sligo Rovers W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Sligo Rovers W scores more
23%
level
22%
Bohemians WFC W scores more
55%

Bohemians WFC W at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Bohemians WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'
A. Robinson
40'
K. ScanlonOwn goal
58'
N. Prior
90+4'
C. HowePenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Sligo Rovers W 1–3 Bohemians WFC W

Bohemians WFC W beat Sligo Rovers W 3-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 17, 2023.

Goals: A. Robinson (22'), K. Scanlon (40' o.g.), N. Prior (58'), C. Howe (90+4' pen).

The match was played at The Showgrounds in Sligo.