Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Hibernians: Result & Stats

Sliema Wanderers

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Hibernians

U. Djuranovic 40'

K. Halabaku 18'

4/10/2026

League #393 · Second Stage - Play Out - 28

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Sliema Wanderers33%

×Draw27%

Hibernians39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sliema WanderersExpected goals in this matchHibernians

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

1.28

Sliema Wanderers

1.16

Hibernians

1.28

Hibernians creates 10% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 55 away

1.05

creates per match

1.56

1.00

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Sliema Wanderers

1.05

Hibernians

1.56

allows per match

Sliema Wanderers

1.00

Hibernians

1.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sliema Wanderers+0.00on par

Hibernians+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sliema Wanderers ↓

Hibernians →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Sliema Wanderers or draw

61%

Sliema Wanderers or Hibernians

73%

Draw or Hibernians

67%

Winning margin

Sliema Wanderers wins by 2+

14%

Hibernians wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Sliema Wanderers 1+ goals

69%

Sliema Wanderers 2+ goals

32%

Sliema Wanderers 3+ goals

11%

Hibernians 1+ goals

72%

Hibernians 2+ goals

37%

Hibernians 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Sliema Wanderers (draw refunded)

46%

Hibernians (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sliema Wanderers at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.00 · 22 matches

Hibernians away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.27 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sliema Wanderers attack 1.05 + Hibernians defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.16

Hibernians attack 1.56 + Sliema Wanderers defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Sliema Wanderers scores more

33%

level

27%

Hibernians scores more

39%

Hibernians at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Hibernians will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

K. Halabaku

26'

N. Micallef

40'

U. Djuranovic

61'

M. Lima← Cleiton

69'

Thiaguinho← N. Micallef

73'

M. Debattista← A. Attard

81'

87'

89'

89'

90+2'

Sliema

Hibernians

1

Branescu

2

▼

96

4

5

11

18

⚽

Halabaku

44

Pedrao

41

Norenkov

27

▼

Cleiton

9

▼

Miullen

22

Tumi

2

Borg

3

▼

Micallef

11

⚽

Djuranovi

12

▼

15

18

20

31

77

94

Manager: Pablo Doffo

69'▲Thiaguinho←▼N. Micallef

89'▲N. Frendo←▼R. Prsa

Sliema Wanderers substitutes

1Lauri25Agu4Hathout5Frendo6Belfiore8Siaw10Montebello14Matroud21Strickland93Thiaguinho95Santos

Manager: Andrei Agius

61'▲M. Lima←▼Cleiton

73'▲M. Debattista←▼A. Attard

89'▲S. Akinbule←▼Miullen

Hibernians substitutes

30Sacco6Caruana8Debattista13Diakite14Xuereb16Zammit19Abela22Bonnici23Ellul70Lima88Akinbule

League #393: Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Hibernians

Sliema Wanderers and Hibernians drew 1-1 in League #393 on April 10, 2026.

Goals: K. Halabaku (18'), U. Djuranovic (40').

Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians — League #393 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League #393: Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Hibernians