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Slavia Vejprnice vs Jindřichův Hradec — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Slavia Vejprnice
Slavia Vejprnice
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Jindřichův Hradec
Jindřichův Hradec
8/10/20244. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 1Stadion Slavia Vejprnice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slavia Vejprnice36%
×Draw22%
Jindřichův Hradec42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Vejprnice
1.75
Jindřichův Hradec
1.90

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 56 away

creates per match

Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Jindřichův Hradec
1.14

allows per match

Slavia Vejprnice
2.67
Jindřichův Hradec
2.50

finishing

Slavia Vejprnice+0.00on par
Jindřichův Hradec+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Vejprnice ↓

Jindřichův Hradec →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Slavia Vejprnice or draw
58%
Slavia Vejprnice or Jindřichův Hradec
78%
Draw or Jindřichův Hradec
64%

Winning margin

Slavia Vejprnice wins by 2+
18%
Jindřichův Hradec wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Slavia Vejprnice 1+ goals
83%
Slavia Vejprnice 2+ goals
52%
Slavia Vejprnice 3+ goals
25%
Jindřichův Hradec 1+ goals
85%
Jindřichův Hradec 2+ goals
56%
Jindřichův Hradec 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Slavia Vejprnice (draw refunded)
46%
Jindřichův Hradec (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Vejprnice at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.67 · 15 matches

Jindřichův Hradec away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.50 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Vejprnice attack 1.00 + Jindřichův Hradec defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Jindřichův Hradec attack 1.14 + Slavia Vejprnice defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Slavia Vejprnice scores more
36%
level
22%
Jindřichův Hradec scores more
42%

Jindřichův Hradec at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Jindřichův Hradec will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

4. liga - Divizie A: Slavia Vejprnice 0–0 Jindřichův Hradec

Slavia Vejprnice and Jindřichův Hradec drew 0-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on August 10, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Slavia Vejprnice in Vejprnice.