Slávia TU Košice 0–0 Púchov: Result & Stats

Slávia TU Košice

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Púchov

4/5/2026

2. liga · Round 23Stadion TU Watsonova

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slávia TU Košice47%

×Draw24%

Púchov29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Slávia TU KošiceExpected goals in this matchPúchov

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.25

Slávia TU Košice

1.67

Púchov

1.25

Slávia TU Košice creates 34% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 92 away

1.47

creates per match

1.43

1.07

allows per match

1.88

creates per match

Slávia TU Košice

1.47

Púchov

1.43

allows per match

Slávia TU Košice

1.07

Púchov

1.88

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Slávia TU Košice+0.00on par

Púchov+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slávia TU Košice ↓

Púchov →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Slávia TU Košice or draw

71%

Slávia TU Košice or Púchov

76%

Draw or Púchov

53%

Winning margin

Slávia TU Košice wins by 2+

25%

Púchov wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Slávia TU Košice 1+ goals

81%

Slávia TU Košice 2+ goals

50%

Slávia TU Košice 3+ goals

23%

Púchov 1+ goals

71%

Púchov 2+ goals

36%

Púchov 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Slávia TU Košice (draw refunded)

62%

Púchov (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slávia TU Košice at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

Púchov away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.88 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slávia TU Košice attack 1.47 + Púchov defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.67

Púchov attack 1.43 + Slávia TU Košice defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Slávia TU Košice scores more

47%

level

24%

Púchov scores more

29%

Slávia TU Košice at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Slávia TU Košice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

33'

M. Jonec

46'

M. Tandara← T. Vavrik

46'

M. Traore← S. Marcanik

58'

S. Hasaj← D. Zolotovetskyi

58'

S. Sabolcik← D. Petrik

59'

67'

70'

70'

76'

79'

80'

L. Levai← P. Mraz

82'

83'

89'

89'

90+2'

Slávia

Púchov

30

18

3

5

15

10

12

▼

Marcanik

20

Poboril

11

Kapus

14

▼

Mraz

9

▼

30

9

22

23

5

73

17

8

▼

Harvila

12

▼

Petrik

10

▼

Isaac

19

▼

Zolotovet

Manager: Matej Timkovic

58'▲S. Hasaj←▼D. Zolotovetskyi

58'▲S. Sabolcik←▼D. Petrik

70'▲D. Urban←▼S. Harvila

83'▲M. Domik←▼E. Isaac

Slávia TU Košice substitutes

4Bajus24Domik16Urban13Hasaj15Matta21Korijkov11Sabolcik90Pangrac1Pola

Manager: Stanislav Mraz

46'▲M. Tandara←▼T. Vavrik

46'▲M. Traore←▼S. Marcanik

80'▲L. Levai←▼P. Mraz

Púchov substitutes

99Vavrik6Tandara7Traore8Levai13Kopicar17Straka22Musak