Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slávia TU Košice vs Námestovo — 3. liga - East 2020

Slávia TU Košice
Slávia TU Košice
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Námestovo
Námestovo
6/1/20243. liga - East3. liga - East · East - 29Štadión TU Watsonova

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Slávia TU Košice72%
×Draw16%
Námestovo12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slávia TU Košice
2.53
Námestovo
0.93

Slávia TU Košice creates 172% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 44 away

creates per match

Slávia TU Košice
2.63
Námestovo
0.89

allows per match

Slávia TU Košice
0.97
Námestovo
2.43

finishing

Slávia TU Košice+0.00on par
Námestovo+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slávia TU Košice ↓

Námestovo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Slávia TU Košice or draw
88%
Slávia TU Košice or Námestovo
84%
Draw or Námestovo
28%

Winning margin

Slávia TU Košice wins by 2+
50%
Námestovo wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Slávia TU Košice 1+ goals
92%
Slávia TU Košice 2+ goals
71%
Slávia TU Košice 3+ goals
46%
Námestovo 1+ goals
61%
Námestovo 2+ goals
24%
Námestovo 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Slávia TU Košice (draw refunded)
86%
Námestovo (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slávia TU Košice at home — creates 2.63, concedes 0.97 · 67 matches

Námestovo away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.43 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slávia TU Košice attack 2.63 + Námestovo defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.53

Námestovo attack 0.89 + Slávia TU Košice defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Slávia TU Košice scores more
72%
level
16%
Námestovo scores more
12%

Slávia TU Košice at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Slávia TU Košice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - East: Slávia TU Košice 2–1 Námestovo

Slávia TU Košice beat Námestovo 2-1 in 3. liga - East on June 1, 2024.

The match was played at Štadión TU Watsonova in Košice.