Slavia Praha 4–0 Sonderjyske: Result & Stats

Slavia Praha

FT

4 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Sonderjyske

C. Wallem 77'

L. Provod 51'

M. van Buren 31'

M. Tijani 12'

1/16/2024

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Estádio Municipal Bela Vista

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Slavia Praha62%

×Draw19%

Sonderjyske19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Slavia PrahaExpected goals in this matchSonderjyske

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.33

1.20

Slavia Praha

2.33

Sonderjyske

1.20

Slavia Praha creates 94% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 11 away

2.31

creates per match

1.09

1.31

allows per match

2.36

creates per match

Slavia Praha

2.31

Sonderjyske

1.09

allows per match

Slavia Praha

1.31

Sonderjyske

2.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Sonderjyske+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Sonderjyske →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw

81%

Slavia Praha or Sonderjyske

81%

Draw or Sonderjyske

38%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

40%

Sonderjyske wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

90%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

67%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

41%

Sonderjyske 1+ goals

70%

Sonderjyske 2+ goals

34%

Sonderjyske 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

77%

Sonderjyske (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.31, concedes 1.31 · 13 matches

Sonderjyske away — creates 1.09, concedes 2.36 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.31 + Sonderjyske defence 2.36 → ÷2 → 2.33

Sonderjyske attack 1.09 + Slavia Praha defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Slavia Praha scores more

62%

level

19%

Sonderjyske scores more

19%

Slavia Praha at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

M. Tijani↳ O. Dorley

31'

M. van Buren↳ M. Tomic

42'

A. Mandous

45'

S. Maass

46'

S. Andreasen← S. Andreasen

46'

M. Dal Hende← G. Wagner

46'

S. Emini← K. Jorgensen

46'

J. Gallegos← A. Pedersen

46'

P. Christiansen← M. Agger

46'

M. Kristensen← M. Kristensen

46'

M. Tomic← D. Doudera

46'

T. Vlcek← T. Holes

46'

J. Boril← S. Sinyan

46'

A. Mandous← J. Sirotnik

46'

A. Dumitrescu← E. Diouf

46'

J. Hromada← C. Zafeiris

46'

O. Dorley← O. Zmrzly

46'

M. van Buren← C. Wallem

46'

S. Tecl← L. Provod

46'

B. Ogungbayi← V. Jurecka

46'

M. Tijani← M. Chytil

51'

L. Provod↳ M. Chytil

72'

N. Flo← B. Rasmussen

72'

A. Barkarson← D. Wilkins

77'

C. Wallem↳ M. Chytil

79'

L. Provod← J. Lacko

Statistics

SlaviaSonderjyske

Overview

6Corners3

Discipline

1Yellow Cards1

Friendlies Clubs: Slavia Praha 4–0 Sonderjyske

Slavia Praha beat Sonderjyske 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 16, 2024.

Goals: M. Tijani (12'), M. van Buren (31'), L. Provod (51'), C. Wallem (77').

The match was played at Estádio Municipal Bela Vista in Parchal.

Slavia Praha vs Sonderjyske — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Statistics

Friendlies Clubs: Slavia Praha 4–0 Sonderjyske