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Slavia Praha vs Puskas Academy — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy
M. Usor 32'
7/10/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Mauth Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Slavia Praha46%
×Draw24%
Puskas Academy29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha
1.64
Puskas Academy
1.25

Slavia Praha creates 31% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 8 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha
2.27
Puskas Academy
1.38

allows per match

Slavia Praha
1.13
Puskas Academy
1.00

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par
Puskas Academy+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Puskas Academy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw
71%
Slavia Praha or Puskas Academy
76%
Draw or Puskas Academy
54%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+
24%
Puskas Academy wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals
81%
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
49%
Slavia Praha 3+ goals
23%
Puskas Academy 1+ goals
71%
Puskas Academy 2+ goals
36%
Puskas Academy 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)
61%
Puskas Academy (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.13 · 15 matches

Puskas Academy away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.27 + Puskas Academy defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.64

Puskas Academy attack 1.38 + Slavia Praha defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Slavia Praha scores more
46%
level
24%
Puskas Academy scores more
29%

Slavia Praha at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
Eduardo Santos
18'
Y. van Nieff
30'
O. Dorley
32'
M. Usor
41'
S. Zahedi
46'
L. Slagveer← L. Colley
46'
S. Zahedi← G. Komaromi
55'
A. Baluta← A. Skribek
59'
I. Schranz← D. Doudera
59'
L. Provod← O. Lingr
59'
I. Traore← P. Sevcik
59'
A. Ousou← T. Kacharaba
59'
Eduardo Santos← T. Holes
69'
O. Dorley← D. Jurasek
69'
V. Jurecka← V. Jurecka
69'
C. Tiehi← M. Valenta
69'
Ewerton← P. Olayinka
69'
Y. Sor← S. Tecl
70'
T. Markek← A. Kiss

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slavia Praha vs Puskas Academy

Slavia Praha beat Puskas Academy 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2022.

Goals: M. Usor (32').

The match was played at Mauth Stadion in Wels.