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Slavia Praha vs Diosgyori VTK — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
CANC
12:00
Diosgyori VTK
Diosgyori VTK
7/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Slavia Praha48%
×Draw22%
Diosgyori VTK30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha
2.00
Diosgyori VTK
1.55

Slavia Praha creates 29% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 9 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha
2.21
Diosgyori VTK
1.89

allows per match

Slavia Praha
1.21
Diosgyori VTK
1.78

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par
Diosgyori VTK+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Diosgyori VTK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw
70%
Slavia Praha or Diosgyori VTK
78%
Draw or Diosgyori VTK
52%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+
27%
Diosgyori VTK wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals
86%
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
59%
Slavia Praha 3+ goals
32%
Diosgyori VTK 1+ goals
79%
Diosgyori VTK 2+ goals
46%
Diosgyori VTK 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)
61%
Diosgyori VTK (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.21, concedes 1.21 · 14 matches

Diosgyori VTK away — creates 1.89, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.21 + Diosgyori VTK defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 2.00

Diosgyori VTK attack 1.89 + Slavia Praha defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Slavia Praha scores more
48%
level
22%
Diosgyori VTK scores more
30%

Slavia Praha at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Slavia Praha host Diosgyori VTK

July 9, 2024: Slavia Praha take on Diosgyori VTK in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Slavia Praha host Diosgyori VTK at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.