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Slavia Praha U19 vs Zlín U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Slavia Praha U19
Slavia Praha U19
FT
3 – 5
HT: 1 – 2
Zlín U19
Zlín U19
4/4/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slavia Praha U1943%
×Draw22%
Zlín U1935%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha U19
1.91
Zlín U19
1.71

Slavia Praha U19 creates 12% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 79 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha U19
1.93
Zlín U19
1.62

allows per match

Slavia Praha U19
1.80
Zlín U19
1.89

finishing

Slavia Praha U19+0.00on par
Zlín U19+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha U19 ↓

Zlín U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Slavia Praha U19 or draw
65%
Slavia Praha U19 or Zlín U19
78%
Draw or Zlín U19
57%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha U19 wins by 2+
23%
Zlín U19 wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Slavia Praha U19 1+ goals
85%
Slavia Praha U19 2+ goals
57%
Slavia Praha U19 3+ goals
30%
Zlín U19 1+ goals
82%
Zlín U19 2+ goals
51%
Zlín U19 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha U19 (draw refunded)
55%
Zlín U19 (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha U19 at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.80 · 15 matches

Zlín U19 away — creates 1.62, concedes 1.89 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha U19 attack 1.93 + Zlín U19 defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.91

Zlín U19 attack 1.62 + Slavia Praha U19 defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Slavia Praha U19 scores more
43%
level
22%
Zlín U19 scores more
35%

Slavia Praha U19 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Slavia Praha U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slavia Praha U19 vs Zlín U19

Zlín U19 beat Slavia Praha U19 5-3 in 1. Liga U19 on April 4, 2026.