Scoreo

Slavia Praha II vs Slovan Bratislava IIFriendlies Clubs 2026

S. Pikolon 45' (pen)
M. Plavnik 30'
O. Jelinek 10'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Slavia Praha II47%
×Draw21%
Slovan Bratislava II32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha II
2.13
Slovan Bratislava II
1.75

Slavia Praha II creates 22% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 8 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha II
2.63
Slovan Bratislava II
2.00

allows per match

Slavia Praha II
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.63

finishing

Slavia Praha II+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha II

Slovan Bratislava II
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
014%
023%
032%
041%
1
104%
118%
127%
134%
142%
2
205%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
303%
316%
325%
333%
341%
4
402%
413%
423%
432%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Slavia Praha II or draw
68%
Slavia Praha II or Slovan Bratislava II
79%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
53%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha II wins by 2+
27%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Slavia Praha II 1+ goals
88%
Slavia Praha II 2+ goals
63%
Slavia Praha II 3+ goals
35%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
83%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
52%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha II (draw refunded)
59%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha II at homecreates 2.63, concedes 1.50 · 16 matches

Slovan Bratislava II awaycreates 2.00, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha II attack 2.63 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 2.13

Slovan Bratislava II attack 2.00 + Slavia Praha II defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Slavia Praha II scores more
47%
level
21%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
32%

Slavia Praha II at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Slavia Praha II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

Slavia
Slovan
Jan Jelinek
Manager: Jan Jelinek
Vladimir Gala
Manager: Vladimir Gala

Match Recap: Slavia Praha II vs Slovan Bratislava II

Slavia Praha II and Slovan Bratislava II drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 31, 2026.

Goals: O. Jelinek (10'), M. Plavnik (30'), S. Pikolon (45' pen), A. Cedergren (66').