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Slask Wroclaw vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1/23/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Slask Wroclaw54%
×Draw23%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slask Wroclaw
1.77
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.04

Slask Wroclaw creates 70% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 12 away

creates per match

Slask Wroclaw
2.13
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.83

allows per match

Slask Wroclaw
1.25
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.42

finishing

Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par
Rekord Bielsko-Biała+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slask Wroclaw ↓

Rekord Bielsko-Biała →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Slask Wroclaw or draw
78%
Slask Wroclaw or Rekord Bielsko-Biała
77%
Draw or Rekord Bielsko-Biała
46%

Winning margin

Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
30%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
83%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
53%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
26%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1+ goals
65%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2+ goals
28%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
71%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slask Wroclaw at home — creates 2.13, concedes 1.25 · 16 matches

Rekord Bielsko-Biała away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slask Wroclaw attack 2.13 + Rekord Bielsko-Biała defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.77

Rekord Bielsko-Biała attack 0.83 + Slask Wroclaw defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Slask Wroclaw scores more
54%
level
23%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała scores more
22%

Slask Wroclaw at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Slask Wroclaw will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Slask
Rekord
Ante Simundza
Manager: Ante Simundza
Dariusz Rucki
Manager: Dariusz Rucki

Friendlies Clubs: Slask Wroclaw 4–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Slask Wroclaw beat Rekord Bielsko-Biała 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 23, 2026.