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Slask Wroclaw vs Lechia Zielona Góra — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
FT
6 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Lechia Zielona Góra
Lechia Zielona Góra
7/8/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Slask Wroclaw69%
×Draw19%
Lechia Zielona Góra12%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slask Wroclaw
2.13
Lechia Zielona Góra
0.75

Slask Wroclaw creates 184% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

Slask Wroclaw
2.09
Lechia Zielona Góra
0.50

allows per match

Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Lechia Zielona Góra
2.17

finishing

Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par
Lechia Zielona Góra+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slask Wroclaw ↓

Lechia Zielona Góra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–14%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–19%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Slask Wroclaw or draw
88%
Slask Wroclaw or Lechia Zielona Góra
81%
Draw or Lechia Zielona Góra
31%

Winning margin

Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
44%
Lechia Zielona Góra wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
88%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
63%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
35%
Lechia Zielona Góra 1+ goals
53%
Lechia Zielona Góra 2+ goals
17%
Lechia Zielona Góra 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
85%
Lechia Zielona Góra (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slask Wroclaw at home — creates 2.09, concedes 1.00 · 11 matches

Lechia Zielona Góra away — creates 0.50, concedes 2.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slask Wroclaw attack 2.09 + Lechia Zielona Góra defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 2.13

Lechia Zielona Góra attack 0.50 + Slask Wroclaw defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Slask Wroclaw scores more
69%
level
19%
Lechia Zielona Góra scores more
12%

Slask Wroclaw at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Slask Wroclaw will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Slask
Lechia
Ante Simundza
Manager: Ante Simundza
S. Mordal
Manager: S. Mordal

Match Recap: Slask Wroclaw vs Lechia Zielona Góra

Slask Wroclaw beat Lechia Zielona Góra 6-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 8, 2026.