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Slask Wroclaw vs FC Noah — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
CANC
12:00
FC Noah
FC Noah
6/29/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Slask Wroclaw59%
×Draw23%
FC Noah18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slask Wroclaw
1.82
FC Noah
0.89

Slask Wroclaw creates 104% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Slask Wroclaw
2.09
FC Noah
0.78

allows per match

Slask Wroclaw
1.00
FC Noah
1.56

finishing

Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par
FC Noah+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slask Wroclaw ↓

FC Noah →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Slask Wroclaw or draw
82%
Slask Wroclaw or FC Noah
77%
Draw or FC Noah
41%

Winning margin

Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
34%
FC Noah wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
84%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
54%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
27%
FC Noah 1+ goals
59%
FC Noah 2+ goals
22%
FC Noah 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
77%
FC Noah (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slask Wroclaw at home — creates 2.09, concedes 1.00 · 11 matches

FC Noah away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slask Wroclaw attack 2.09 + FC Noah defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.82

FC Noah attack 0.78 + Slask Wroclaw defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Slask Wroclaw scores more
59%
level
23%
FC Noah scores more
18%

Slask Wroclaw at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Slask Wroclaw will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Slask Wroclaw face FC Noah (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Slask Wroclaw hosting FC Noah. Match starts June 29, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Slask Wroclaw host FC Noah at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.