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Slask Wroclaw vs Chrobry Głogów — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 1
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
P. Klimala 55'
P. Samiec-Talar 30'
R. Wolsztynski 82', 65'
S. Bartlewicz 6'
11/17/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Oporowska

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Slask Wroclaw54%
×Draw21%
Chrobry Głogów25%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slask Wroclaw
2.04
Chrobry Głogów
1.33

Slask Wroclaw creates 53% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Slask Wroclaw
2.09
Chrobry Głogów
1.67

allows per match

Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
2.00

finishing

Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par
Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slask Wroclaw ↓

Chrobry Głogów →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Slask Wroclaw or draw
75%
Slask Wroclaw or Chrobry Głogów
79%
Draw or Chrobry Głogów
46%

Winning margin

Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
32%
Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
87%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
60%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
33%
Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals
74%
Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals
38%
Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
68%
Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slask Wroclaw at home — creates 2.09, concedes 1.00 · 11 matches

Chrobry Głogów away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slask Wroclaw attack 2.09 + Chrobry Głogów defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.04

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.67 + Slask Wroclaw defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Slask Wroclaw scores more
54%
level
21%
Chrobry Głogów scores more
25%

Slask Wroclaw at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Slask Wroclaw will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
S. Bartlewicz
30'
M. Machaj← M. Machaj
30'
P. Samiec-Talar
46'
R. Mandrysz← A. Bogusz
46'
N. Malczuk← N. Malczuk
46'
P. Olsen← P. Szwedzik
46'
P. Samiec-Talar← M. Nahuel
46'
Y. Matsenko← P. Janasik
55'
P. Klimala
60'
P. Plewka← P. Mucha
60'
R. Wolsztynski← R. Wolsztynski
60'
B. Biel← M. Ozimek
60'
K. Tabis← K. Tabis
60'
D. Hanc← D. Hanc
60'
M. Michalec← E. Stuglis
60'
Korolewicz← Korolewicz
62'
P. Klimala← J. Lutostanski
62'
M. Zukowski← M. Zylla
62'
M. Konczkowski← M. Kurowski
62'
K. Trelowski← H. Sliczniak
65'
R. Wolsztynski
82'
R. Wolsztynski

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slask Wroclaw vs Chrobry Głogów

Chrobry Głogów beat Slask Wroclaw 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on November 17, 2023.

Goals: S. Bartlewicz (6'), P. Samiec-Talar (30'), P. Klimala (55'), R. Wolsztynski (65', 82').

The match was played at Stadion Oporowska in Wrocław.