Scoreo

SKU Amstetten vs ArtisFriendlies Clubs 2026

SKU Amstetten
SKU Amstetten
FT
22
HT: 12
Artis
Artis
Y. Votter 90' (pen)
F. Kochl 32'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

SKU Amstetten53%
×Draw21%
Artis26%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SKU Amstetten
2.06
Artis
1.38

SKU Amstetten creates 49% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 18 away

creates per match

SKU Amstetten
2.40
Artis
1.56

allows per match

SKU Amstetten
1.20
Artis
1.72

finishing

SKU Amstetten+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SKU Amstetten

Artis
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
014%
023%
031%
040%
1
107%
119%
126%
133%
141%
2
207%
219%
227%
233%
241%
3
305%
316%
324%
332%
341%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

SKU Amstetten or draw
74%
SKU Amstetten or Artis
79%
Draw or Artis
47%

Winning margin

SKU Amstetten wins by 2+
31%
Artis wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

SKU Amstetten 1+ goals
87%
SKU Amstetten 2+ goals
61%
SKU Amstetten 3+ goals
34%
Artis 1+ goals
75%
Artis 2+ goals
40%
Artis 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

SKU Amstetten (draw refunded)
67%
Artis (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SKU Amstetten at homecreates 2.40, concedes 1.20 · 10 matches

Artis awaycreates 1.56, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SKU Amstetten attack 2.40 + Artis defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 2.06

Artis attack 1.56 + SKU Amstetten defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

SKU Amstetten scores more
53%
level
21%
Artis scores more
26%

SKU Amstetten at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "SKU Amstetten will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

SKU
Artis

SKU Amstetten 2 – 2 Artis

SKU Amstetten and Artis drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2026.

Goals: Q. Adediran (21'), F. Kochl (32'), E. H. Ndiaye (37'), Y. Votter (90' pen).