Skövde AIK 1–1 Utsikten: Result & Stats

Skövde AIK

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Utsikten

H. Engström 35' (pen)

K. Bohm 74'

10/19/2024

Superettan · Round 27Södermalms IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Skövde AIK46%

×Draw26%

Utsikten28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Skövde AIKExpected goals in this matchUtsikten

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.49

1.11

Skövde AIK

1.49

Utsikten

1.11

Skövde AIK creates 34% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 61 away

1.36

creates per match

1.13

1.09

allows per match

1.61

creates per match

Skövde AIK

1.36

Utsikten

1.13

allows per match

Skövde AIK

1.09

Utsikten

1.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Skövde AIK+0.00on par

Utsikten+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Skövde AIK ↓

Utsikten →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Skövde AIK or draw

72%

Skövde AIK or Utsikten

74%

Draw or Utsikten

54%

Winning margin

Skövde AIK wins by 2+

23%

Utsikten wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Skövde AIK 1+ goals

77%

Skövde AIK 2+ goals

44%

Skövde AIK 3+ goals

19%

Utsikten 1+ goals

67%

Utsikten 2+ goals

30%

Utsikten 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Skövde AIK (draw refunded)

62%

Utsikten (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Skövde AIK at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.09 · 47 matches

Utsikten away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.61 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Skövde AIK attack 1.36 + Utsikten defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.49

Utsikten attack 1.13 + Skövde AIK defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Skövde AIK scores more

46%

level

26%

Utsikten scores more

28%

Skövde AIK at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Skövde AIK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

S. Sörman

Skövde AIK · D

7.9

Match Events

27'

30'

32'

34'

35'

H. EngströmPenalty

46'

L. Lima← I. Pękalski

63'

Allan Mohideen← B. Engdahl

63'

K. Bohm← A. Faltsetas

69'

Allan Mohideen

73'

Suleman Zurmati← P. Ranđelović

74'

K. Bohm

75'

Karl Bohm

76'

Filip Schyberg

76'

E. Skillermo← A. Suljev

76'

S. Shhab← S. Abraham

78'

Sebastian Lagerlund

81'

Filip Drinic

83'

E. Westermark← K. Jawla

90+1'

S. Ljubicic← Elmar Abraham

90+1'

E. Tellgren← S. Sörman

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SkövdeUtsikten

Overview

55%Possession45%

8Total Shots15

1.13Expected Goals (xG)0.85

4Corners5

15Fouls24

Shots

8Total Shots15

4On Target3

3Off Target5

1Blocked7

5Inside Box8

3Outside Box7

Passing

55%Possession45%

353Total Passes340

279Accurate Passes268

79%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

Discipline

15Fouls24

4Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards0

2Offsides0

Match Recap: Skövde AIK vs Utsikten

Skövde AIK and Utsikten drew 1-1 in Superettan on October 19, 2024.

Goals: H. Engström (35' pen), K. Bohm (74').

Skövde AIK controlled possession (55%) and registered 8 shots to 15.

The match was played at Södermalms IP in Skövde.

Skövde AIK vs Utsikten — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Skövde AIK vs Utsikten