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SJK Akatemia vs JJK — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
CANC
13:00
JJK
JJK
1/14/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

SJK Akatemia64%
×Draw20%
JJK16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SJK Akatemia
2.17
JJK
1.00

SJK Akatemia creates 117% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

SJK Akatemia
2.67
JJK
1.33

allows per match

SJK Akatemia
0.67
JJK
1.67

finishing

SJK Akatemia+0.00on par
JJK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 61Under: 3961%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 56No: 4456%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SJK Akatemia ↓

JJK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

SJK Akatemia or draw
84%
SJK Akatemia or JJK
80%
Draw or JJK
36%

Winning margin

SJK Akatemia wins by 2+
40%
JJK wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

SJK Akatemia 1+ goals
89%
SJK Akatemia 2+ goals
64%
SJK Akatemia 3+ goals
36%
JJK 1+ goals
63%
JJK 2+ goals
26%
JJK 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

SJK Akatemia (draw refunded)
80%
JJK (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SJK Akatemia at home — creates 2.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

JJK away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SJK Akatemia attack 2.67 + JJK defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.17

JJK attack 1.33 + SJK Akatemia defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

SJK Akatemia scores more
64%
level
20%
JJK scores more
16%

SJK Akatemia at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "SJK Akatemia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

SJK Akatemia face JJK (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with SJK Akatemia hosting JJK. Match starts January 14, 2023. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.