Sisonkhe 1–0 Malanti Chiefs: Result & Stats

Sisonkhe

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Malanti Chiefs

5/19/2026

Premier League · Round 29

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Sisonkhe35%

×Draw26%

Malanti Chiefs40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SisonkheExpected goals in this matchMalanti Chiefs

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

1.41

Sisonkhe

1.30

Malanti Chiefs

1.41

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 28 home / 46 away

0.82

creates per match

0.85

1.96

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Sisonkhe

0.82

Malanti Chiefs

0.85

allows per match

Sisonkhe

1.96

Malanti Chiefs

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sisonkhe+0.00on par

Malanti Chiefs+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sisonkhe ↓

Malanti Chiefs →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Sisonkhe or draw

60%

Sisonkhe or Malanti Chiefs

74%

Draw or Malanti Chiefs

65%

Winning margin

Sisonkhe wins by 2+

15%

Malanti Chiefs wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Sisonkhe 1+ goals

73%

Sisonkhe 2+ goals

37%

Sisonkhe 3+ goals

14%

Malanti Chiefs 1+ goals

76%

Malanti Chiefs 2+ goals

41%

Malanti Chiefs 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Sisonkhe (draw refunded)

47%

Malanti Chiefs (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sisonkhe at home — creates 0.82, concedes 1.96 · 28 matches

Malanti Chiefs away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.78 · 46 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sisonkhe attack 0.82 + Malanti Chiefs defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.30

Malanti Chiefs attack 0.85 + Sisonkhe defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Sisonkhe scores more

35%

level

26%

Malanti Chiefs scores more

40%

Malanti Chiefs at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Malanti Chiefs will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff