Sisonkhe 2–1 Green Mamba: Result & Stats

Sisonkhe

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Green Mamba

1/11/2026

Premier League · Round 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Sisonkhe18%

×Draw24%

Green Mamba58%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SisonkheExpected goals in this matchGreen Mamba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.84

1.73

Sisonkhe

0.84

Green Mamba

1.73

Green Mamba creates 106% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 84 away

0.82

creates per match

1.49

1.96

allows per match

0.86

creates per match

Sisonkhe

0.82

Green Mamba

1.49

allows per match

Sisonkhe

1.96

Green Mamba

0.86

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sisonkhe+0.00on par

Green Mamba+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sisonkhe ↓

Green Mamba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–113%

0–211%

0–37%

0–43%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–42%

2

2–03%

2–15%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

47%53%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Sisonkhe or draw

42%

Sisonkhe or Green Mamba

76%

Draw or Green Mamba

82%

Winning margin

Sisonkhe wins by 2+

6%

Green Mamba wins by 2+

33%

Team goals

Sisonkhe 1+ goals

57%

Sisonkhe 2+ goals

21%

Sisonkhe 3+ goals

5%

Green Mamba 1+ goals

82%

Green Mamba 2+ goals

52%

Green Mamba 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Sisonkhe (draw refunded)

24%

Green Mamba (draw refunded)

76%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sisonkhe at home — creates 0.82, concedes 1.96 · 28 matches

Green Mamba away — creates 1.49, concedes 0.86 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sisonkhe attack 0.82 + Green Mamba defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.84

Green Mamba attack 1.49 + Sisonkhe defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Sisonkhe scores more

18%

level

24%

Green Mamba scores more

58%

Green Mamba at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Green Mamba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff