Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sisaket United vs Trat FC — Thai League 2 2018

Sisaket United
Sisaket United
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Trat FC
Trat FC
2/10/2026Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 23Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Sisaket United50%
×Draw26%
Trat FC24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sisaket United
1.54
Trat FC
0.99

Sisaket United creates 56% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 84 away

creates per match

Sisaket United
1.52
Trat FC
1.20

allows per match

Sisaket United
0.79
Trat FC
1.57

finishing

Sisaket United+0.00on par
Trat FC+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sisaket United ↓

Trat FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Sisaket United or draw
76%
Sisaket United or Trat FC
74%
Draw or Trat FC
50%

Winning margin

Sisaket United wins by 2+
26%
Trat FC wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Sisaket United 1+ goals
79%
Sisaket United 2+ goals
45%
Sisaket United 3+ goals
20%
Trat FC 1+ goals
63%
Trat FC 2+ goals
26%
Trat FC 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Sisaket United (draw refunded)
67%
Trat FC (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sisaket United at home — creates 1.52, concedes 0.79 · 33 matches

Trat FC away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.57 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sisaket United attack 1.52 + Trat FC defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.54

Trat FC attack 1.20 + Sisaket United defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Sisaket United scores more
50%
level
26%
Trat FC scores more
24%

Sisaket United at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Sisaket United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Thai League 2: Sisaket United 3–1 Trat FC

Sisaket United beat Trat FC 3-1 in Thai League 2 on February 10, 2026.

The match was played at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium.