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Singleton Strikers vs Belmont Swansea — NNSW League 1 2026

Singleton Strikers
Singleton Strikers
FT
0 – 3
Belmont Swansea
Belmont Swansea
6/29/2024NNSW League 1NNSW League 1 · Round 21Howe Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Singleton Strikers19%
×Draw19%
Belmont Swansea62%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Singleton Strikers
1.18
Belmont Swansea
2.30

Belmont Swansea creates 95% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 12 away

creates per match

Singleton Strikers
1.36
Belmont Swansea
2.92

allows per match

Singleton Strikers
1.68
Belmont Swansea
1.00

finishing

Singleton Strikers+0.00on par
Belmont Swansea+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singleton Strikers ↓

Belmont Swansea →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–17%
0–28%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–34%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Singleton Strikers or draw
38%
Singleton Strikers or Belmont Swansea
81%
Draw or Belmont Swansea
81%

Winning margin

Singleton Strikers wins by 2+
7%
Belmont Swansea wins by 2+
40%

Team goals

Singleton Strikers 1+ goals
69%
Singleton Strikers 2+ goals
33%
Singleton Strikers 3+ goals
12%
Belmont Swansea 1+ goals
90%
Belmont Swansea 2+ goals
67%
Belmont Swansea 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Singleton Strikers (draw refunded)
23%
Belmont Swansea (draw refunded)
77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singleton Strikers at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.68 · 28 matches

Belmont Swansea away — creates 2.92, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singleton Strikers attack 1.36 + Belmont Swansea defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.18

Belmont Swansea attack 2.92 + Singleton Strikers defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 2.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Singleton Strikers scores more
19%
level
19%
Belmont Swansea scores more
62%

Belmont Swansea at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Belmont Swansea will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NNSW League 1: Singleton Strikers 0–3 Belmont Swansea

Belmont Swansea beat Singleton Strikers 3-0 in NNSW League 1 on June 29, 2024.

The match was played at Howe Park in Singleton.