Singapore 3–1 Maldives: Result & Stats | Friendlies

Singapore

3 – 1

HT: 3 – 0

Maldives

I. bin Fandi Ahmad 32', 20'

A. A. Bin Azmi 7'

A. Rizuvan 90' (pen)

6/5/2025

Friendlies · Friendlies 3Bishan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Singapore52%

×Draw23%

Maldives24%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SingaporeExpected goals in this matchMaldives

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

1.13

Singapore

1.77

Maldives

1.13

Singapore creates 57% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

1.80

creates per match

1.25

1.00

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Singapore

1.80

Maldives

1.25

allows per match

Singapore

1.00

Maldives

1.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Singapore+0.00on par

Maldives+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore ↓

Maldives →

0–06%

0–16%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Singapore or draw

76%

Singapore or Maldives

77%

Draw or Maldives

48%

Winning margin

Singapore wins by 2+

29%

Maldives wins by 2+

Team goals

Singapore 1+ goals

83%

Singapore 2+ goals

53%

Singapore 3+ goals

26%

Maldives 1+ goals

68%

Maldives 2+ goals

31%

Maldives 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Singapore (draw refunded)

68%

Maldives (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Singapore at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Maldives away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Singapore attack 1.80 + Maldives defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.77

Maldives attack 1.25 + Singapore defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 52%?"

Singapore scores more

52%

level

23%

Maldives scores more

24%

Singapore at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Singapore will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

A. A. Bin Azmi↳ Song Ui-Young

20'

I. bin Fandi Ahmad↳ H. Stewart

28'

F. Ramli← G. Kweh

32'

I. bin Fandi Ahmad↳ Song Ui-Young

46'

C. van Huizen← I. Najeeb

46'

K. Nakamura← A. Syafiz

62'

T. Suparno← I. bin Fandi Ahmad

62'

I. Fandi← Song Ui-Young

65'

67'

70'

86'

L. Tan← J. Emaviwe

90'

A. RizuvanPenalty

Singapore

Maldives

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

Ahmad

Manager: Takayuki Nishigaya

28'▲F. Ramli←▼G. Kweh

46'▲C. van Huizen←▼I. Najeeb

46'▲K. Nakamura←▼A. Syafiz

62'▲T. Suparno←▼I. bin Fandi Ahmad

62'▲I. Fandi←▼Song Ui-Young

86'▲L. Tan←▼J. Emaviwe

Singapore substitutes

12BuhariKhairullah4Huizen6Nakamura8Shahiran10Ramli13Suparno15Tan16Syahin19Fandi26Stewart27Azman

Manager: Ali Suzain

Maldives substitutes

18Aleen22Yaameen20Shifaz5Irufaan21Naim11Rasheed14ChoatuHassan19Rizuvan