Singapore U19 0–4 United Arab Emirates U19

Singapore U19

0 – 4

United Arab Emirates U19

5/21/2026

Friendlies · Friendly International

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Singapore U1927%

×Draw17%

United Arab Emirates U1956%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Singapore U19Expected goals in this matchUnited Arab Emirates U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

3.25

Singapore U19

2.29

United Arab Emirates U19

3.25

United Arab Emirates U19 creates 42% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

2.25

creates per match

3.00

3.50

allows per match

2.33

creates per match

Singapore U19

2.25

United Arab Emirates U19

3.00

allows per match

Singapore U19

3.50

United Arab Emirates U19

2.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Singapore U19+0.00on par

United Arab Emirates U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over91
Under9

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes86
No14

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore U19 ↓

United Arab Emirates U19 →

0–00%

0–11%

0–22%

0–32%

0–42%

1–01%

1–13%

1–25%

1–35%

1–44%

2–01%

2–14%

2–26%

2–36%

2–45%

3–01%

3–13%

3–24%

3–35%

3–44%

4–00%

4–12%

4–23%

4–33%

4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (6%) · grid covers 75% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

100%0%1.5

97%3%2.5

91%9%3.5

79%21%4.5

63%37%

Double chance

Singapore U19 or draw

44%

Singapore U19 or United Arab Emirates U19

83%

Draw or United Arab Emirates U19

73%

Winning margin

Singapore U19 wins by 2+

14%

United Arab Emirates U19 wins by 2+

38%

Team goals

Singapore U19 1+ goals

90%

Singapore U19 2+ goals

66%

Singapore U19 3+ goals

40%

United Arab Emirates U19 1+ goals

96%

United Arab Emirates U19 2+ goals

83%

United Arab Emirates U19 3+ goals

61%

Draw no bet

Singapore U19 (draw refunded)

33%

United Arab Emirates U19 (draw refunded)

67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

83%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Singapore U19 at home — creates 2.25, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

United Arab Emirates U19 away — creates 3.00, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Singapore U19 attack 2.25 + United Arab Emirates U19 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.29

United Arab Emirates U19 attack 3.00 + Singapore U19 defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 3.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 56%?"

Singapore U19 scores more

27%

level

17%

United Arab Emirates U19 scores more

56%

United Arab Emirates U19 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "United Arab Emirates U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff