Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Singapore U19 vs Malaysia U19 — AFF U19 Championship 2022

Singapore U19
Singapore U19
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 3
Malaysia U19
Malaysia U19
I. Syahir 82'
F. Danish 73'
P. Gunalan 45+1'
N. Zainudin 12'
R. Rosli 7'
7/22/2024AFF U19 ChampionshipAFF U19 Championship · Group Stage - 2Stadion Gelora 10 November

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Singapore U1916%
×Draw19%
Malaysia U1965%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Singapore U19
1.07
Malaysia U19
2.34

Malaysia U19 creates 119% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

creates per match

Singapore U19
1.00
Malaysia U19
2.86

allows per match

Singapore U19
1.83
Malaysia U19
1.14

finishing

Singapore U19+0.00on par
Malaysia U19+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore U19 ↓

Malaysia U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–18%
0–29%
0–37%
0–44%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–210%
1–38%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–25%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Singapore U19 or draw
35%
Singapore U19 or Malaysia U19
81%
Draw or Malaysia U19
84%

Winning margin

Singapore U19 wins by 2+
6%
Malaysia U19 wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

Singapore U19 1+ goals
66%
Singapore U19 2+ goals
29%
Singapore U19 3+ goals
9%
Malaysia U19 1+ goals
90%
Malaysia U19 2+ goals
67%
Malaysia U19 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Singapore U19 (draw refunded)
20%
Malaysia U19 (draw refunded)
80%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singapore U19 at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Malaysia U19 away — creates 2.86, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singapore U19 attack 1.00 + Malaysia U19 defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.07

Malaysia U19 attack 2.86 + Singapore U19 defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Singapore U19 scores more
16%
level
19%
Malaysia U19 scores more
65%

Malaysia U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Malaysia U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
R. Rosli
12'
N. Zainudin
45+1'
P. Gunalan
73'
F. Danish
82'
I. Syahir
85'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Singapore U19 vs Malaysia U19

Malaysia U19 beat Singapore U19 5-0 in AFF U19 Championship on July 22, 2024.

Goals: R. Rosli (7'), N. Zainudin (12'), P. Gunalan (45+1'), F. Danish (73'), I. Syahir (82').

The match was played at Stadion Gelora 10 November in Surabaya.