Singapore U17 0–6 Vietnam U17: Result & Stats

Singapore U17

FT

0 – 6

HT: 0 – 3

Vietnam U17

11/22/2025

AFC U17 Asian Cup · Group Stage - 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Singapore U172%

×Draw8%

Vietnam U1790%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Singapore U17Expected goals in this matchVietnam U17

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.34

3.17

Singapore U17

0.34

Vietnam U17

3.17

Vietnam U17 creates 832% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

0.67

creates per match

3.67

2.67

allows per match

0.00

creates per match

Singapore U17

0.67

Vietnam U17

3.67

allows per match

Singapore U17

2.67

Vietnam U17

0.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Singapore U17+0.00on par

Vietnam U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No72
Yes28

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore U17 ↓

Vietnam U17 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–110%

0–216%

0–317%

0–413%

1

1–01%

1–13%

1–25%

1–36%

1–44%

2

2–00%

2–11%

2–21%

2–31%

2–41%

3

3–00%

3–10%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–3 (17%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

44%56%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Singapore U17 or draw

10%

Singapore U17 or Vietnam U17

92%

Draw or Vietnam U17

98%

Winning margin

Singapore U17 wins by 2+

0%

Vietnam U17 wins by 2+

74%

Team goals

Singapore U17 1+ goals

29%

Singapore U17 2+ goals

5%

Singapore U17 3+ goals

1%

Vietnam U17 1+ goals

96%

Vietnam U17 2+ goals

82%

Vietnam U17 3+ goals

60%

Draw no bet

Singapore U17 (draw refunded)

2%

Vietnam U17 (draw refunded)

98%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singapore U17 at home — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Vietnam U17 away — creates 3.67, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singapore U17 attack 0.67 + Vietnam U17 defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.34

Vietnam U17 attack 3.67 + Singapore U17 defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 3.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 90%?"

Singapore U17 scores more

2%

level

8%

Vietnam U17 scores more

90%

Vietnam U17 at 90% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 90% does not mean "Vietnam U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff