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Singapore U17 vs Macau U17 — AFC U17 Asian Cup 2026

Singapore U17
Singapore U17
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Macau U17
Macau U17
11/24/2025AFC U17 Asian CupAFC U17 Asian Cup · Group Stage - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Singapore U1717%
×Draw22%
Macau U1761%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Singapore U17
0.83
Macau U17
1.83

Macau U17 creates 120% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Singapore U17
0.67
Macau U17
1.00

allows per match

Singapore U17
2.67
Macau U17
1.00

finishing

Singapore U17+0.00on par
Macau U17+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore U17 ↓

Macau U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–113%
0–212%
0–37%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Singapore U17 or draw
39%
Singapore U17 or Macau U17
78%
Draw or Macau U17
83%

Winning margin

Singapore U17 wins by 2+
5%
Macau U17 wins by 2+
36%

Team goals

Singapore U17 1+ goals
56%
Singapore U17 2+ goals
20%
Singapore U17 3+ goals
5%
Macau U17 1+ goals
84%
Macau U17 2+ goals
54%
Macau U17 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Singapore U17 (draw refunded)
21%
Macau U17 (draw refunded)
79%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singapore U17 at home — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Macau U17 away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singapore U17 attack 0.67 + Macau U17 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Macau U17 attack 1.00 + Singapore U17 defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Singapore U17 scores more
17%
level
22%
Macau U17 scores more
61%

Macau U17 at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Macau U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Singapore U17 vs Macau U17

Singapore U17 and Macau U17 drew 1-1 in AFC U17 Asian Cup on November 24, 2025.