Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Simmeringer SC vs Vorwärts Brigittenau — Landesliga - Wien 2019

Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC
FT
3 – 0
Vorwärts Brigittenau
Vorwärts Brigittenau
6/15/2024Landesliga - WienLandesliga - Wien · Wien - 29Sportplatz Simmering

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Simmeringer SC48%
×Draw22%
Vorwärts Brigittenau29%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Simmeringer SC
1.89
Vorwärts Brigittenau
1.42

Simmeringer SC creates 33% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 76 away

creates per match

Simmeringer SC
1.46
Vorwärts Brigittenau
1.04

allows per match

Simmeringer SC
1.80
Vorwärts Brigittenau
2.32

finishing

Simmeringer SC+0.00on par
Vorwärts Brigittenau+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Simmeringer SC ↓

Vorwärts Brigittenau →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Simmeringer SC or draw
71%
Simmeringer SC or Vorwärts Brigittenau
78%
Draw or Vorwärts Brigittenau
52%

Winning margin

Simmeringer SC wins by 2+
27%
Vorwärts Brigittenau wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Simmeringer SC 1+ goals
85%
Simmeringer SC 2+ goals
56%
Simmeringer SC 3+ goals
29%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 1+ goals
76%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 2+ goals
41%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Simmeringer SC (draw refunded)
63%
Vorwärts Brigittenau (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Simmeringer SC at home — creates 1.46, concedes 1.80 · 46 matches

Vorwärts Brigittenau away — creates 1.04, concedes 2.32 · 76 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Simmeringer SC attack 1.46 + Vorwärts Brigittenau defence 2.32 → ÷2 → 1.89

Vorwärts Brigittenau attack 1.04 + Simmeringer SC defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Simmeringer SC scores more
48%
level
22%
Vorwärts Brigittenau scores more
29%

Simmeringer SC at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Simmeringer SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Simmeringer SC vs Vorwärts Brigittenau

Simmeringer SC beat Vorwärts Brigittenau 3-0 in Landesliga - Wien on June 15, 2024.

The match was played at Sportplatz Simmering in Wien.