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Silver Strikers vs Karonga United — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
Preview
12:30
Karonga United
Karonga United
7/19/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 10
Big match
61%
Silver Strikers
model favours
61%23%15%

Silver Strikers have won 7 of the last 10 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
57%
under 2.5 goals
42%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Silver Strikers61%
×Draw23%
Karonga United15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.71
Karonga United
0.71

Silver Strikers creates 141% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 83 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Karonga United
0.80

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Karonga United
1.42

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Karonga United+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Karonga United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
85%
Silver Strikers or Karonga United
77%
Draw or Karonga United
39%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
35%
Karonga United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
82%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
51%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
24%
Karonga United 1+ goals
51%
Karonga United 2+ goals
16%
Karonga United 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
80%
Karonga United (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Karonga United away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.42 · 83 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Karonga United defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.71

Karonga United attack 0.80 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
61%
level
23%
Karonga United scores more
15%

Silver Strikers at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Karonga United win just 23% against the top half (vs 48% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Strikers
DWDWD
United
LDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Silver Strikers host Karonga United

July 19, 2026: Silver Strikers take on Karonga United in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.