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Silver Strikers vs Extreme — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Extreme
Extreme
8/25/2023Super LeagueSuper League · Round 15Bingu National Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Silver Strikers68%
×Draw22%
Extreme9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.70
Extreme
0.45

Silver Strikers creates 278% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 15 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Extreme
0.27

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Extreme
1.40

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Extreme+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

70%No
  • No70
  • Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Extreme →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–15%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–19%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–017%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
91%
Silver Strikers or Extreme
78%
Draw or Extreme
32%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
40%
Extreme wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
82%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
51%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
24%
Extreme 1+ goals
36%
Extreme 2+ goals
8%
Extreme 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
88%
Extreme (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Extreme away — creates 0.27, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Extreme defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.70

Extreme attack 0.27 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
68%
level
22%
Extreme scores more
9%

Silver Strikers at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 0–0 Extreme

Silver Strikers and Extreme drew 0-0 in Super League on August 25, 2023.

The match was played at Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe.