Scoreo

Silver Strikers vs Ekwendeni HammersSuper League 2026

12/24/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 22Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Silver Strikers62%
×Draw23%
Ekwendeni Hammers15%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.79
Ekwendeni Hammers
0.76

Silver Strikers creates 136% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 75 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Ekwendeni Hammers
0.89

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Ekwendeni Hammers
1.57

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Ekwendeni Hammers+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers

Ekwendeni Hammers
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
016%
022%
031%
040%
1
1014%
1111%
124%
131%
140%
2
2013%
2110%
224%
231%
240%
3
307%
316%
322%
331%
340%
4
403%
413%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
85%
Silver Strikers or Ekwendeni Hammers
77%
Draw or Ekwendeni Hammers
38%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
36%
Ekwendeni Hammers wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
83%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
53%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
26%
Ekwendeni Hammers 1+ goals
53%
Ekwendeni Hammers 2+ goals
18%
Ekwendeni Hammers 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
80%
Ekwendeni Hammers (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at homecreates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Ekwendeni Hammers awaycreates 0.89, concedes 1.57 · 75 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Ekwendeni Hammers defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.79

Ekwendeni Hammers attack 0.89 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
62%
level
23%
Ekwendeni Hammers scores more
15%

Silver Strikers at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 3–0 Ekwendeni Hammers

Silver Strikers beat Ekwendeni Hammers 3-0 in Super League on December 24, 2025.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.