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Silver Strikers vs Dedza Dynamos — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
5 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Dedza Dynamos
Dedza Dynamos
12/7/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 24Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 65+ matches

Silver Strikers65%
×Draw22%
Dedza Dynamos14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.84
Dedza Dynamos
0.70

Silver Strikers creates 163% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 65 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Dedza Dynamos
0.78

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Dedza Dynamos
1.69

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Dedza Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Dedza Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
86%
Silver Strikers or Dedza Dynamos
78%
Draw or Dedza Dynamos
35%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
38%
Dedza Dynamos wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
84%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
55%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
28%
Dedza Dynamos 1+ goals
50%
Dedza Dynamos 2+ goals
16%
Dedza Dynamos 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
83%
Dedza Dynamos (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Dedza Dynamos away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.69 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Dedza Dynamos defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.84

Dedza Dynamos attack 0.78 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
65%
level
22%
Dedza Dynamos scores more
14%

Silver Strikers at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Strikers vs Dedza Dynamos

Silver Strikers beat Dedza Dynamos 5-2 in Super League on December 7, 2024.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.