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Silver Strikers vs Blue Eagles — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
2 – 1
Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
8/6/2023Super LeagueSuper League · Round 13Bingu National Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Silver Strikers54%
×Draw26%
Blue Eagles20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.48
Blue Eagles
0.79

Silver Strikers creates 87% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 67 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Blue Eagles
0.97

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Blue Eagles
0.96

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Blue Eagles+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Blue Eagles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
80%
Silver Strikers or Blue Eagles
74%
Draw or Blue Eagles
46%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
27%
Blue Eagles wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
77%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
43%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
19%
Blue Eagles 1+ goals
55%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
19%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
73%
Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Blue Eagles away — creates 0.97, concedes 0.96 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Blue Eagles defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.48

Blue Eagles attack 0.97 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
54%
level
26%
Blue Eagles scores more
20%

Silver Strikers at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Strikers vs Blue Eagles

Silver Strikers beat Blue Eagles 2-1 in Super League on August 6, 2023.

The match was played at Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe.