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Sigma Olomouc vs Zaglebie Lubin — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
CANC
00:00
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
1/30/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Sigma Olomouc50%
×Draw24%
Zaglebie Lubin26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sigma Olomouc
1.74
Zaglebie Lubin
1.18

Sigma Olomouc creates 47% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 7 away

creates per match

Sigma Olomouc
1.91
Zaglebie Lubin
1.71

allows per match

Sigma Olomouc
0.64
Zaglebie Lubin
1.57

finishing

Sigma Olomouc+0.00on par
Zaglebie Lubin+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sigma Olomouc ↓

Zaglebie Lubin →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Sigma Olomouc or draw
74%
Sigma Olomouc or Zaglebie Lubin
76%
Draw or Zaglebie Lubin
50%

Winning margin

Sigma Olomouc wins by 2+
27%
Zaglebie Lubin wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Sigma Olomouc 1+ goals
82%
Sigma Olomouc 2+ goals
52%
Sigma Olomouc 3+ goals
25%
Zaglebie Lubin 1+ goals
69%
Zaglebie Lubin 2+ goals
33%
Zaglebie Lubin 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Sigma Olomouc (draw refunded)
66%
Zaglebie Lubin (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sigma Olomouc at home — creates 1.91, concedes 0.64 · 22 matches

Zaglebie Lubin away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sigma Olomouc attack 1.91 + Zaglebie Lubin defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.74

Zaglebie Lubin attack 1.71 + Sigma Olomouc defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Sigma Olomouc scores more
50%
level
24%
Zaglebie Lubin scores more
26%

Sigma Olomouc at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Sigma Olomouc will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Sigma Olomouc host Zaglebie Lubin

January 30, 2024: Sigma Olomouc take on Zaglebie Lubin in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Sigma Olomouc host Zaglebie Lubin at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.