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Sigma Olomouc vs Vyškov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
FT
3 – 0
Vyškov
Vyškov
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Hrište Slatinice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Sigma Olomouc60%
×Draw22%
Vyškov18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sigma Olomouc
1.95
Vyškov
0.97

Sigma Olomouc creates 101% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 14 away

creates per match

Sigma Olomouc
1.90
Vyškov
1.43

allows per match

Sigma Olomouc
0.52
Vyškov
2.00

finishing

Sigma Olomouc+0.00on par
Vyškov+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sigma Olomouc ↓

Vyškov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Sigma Olomouc or draw
82%
Sigma Olomouc or Vyškov
78%
Draw or Vyškov
40%

Winning margin

Sigma Olomouc wins by 2+
36%
Vyškov wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Sigma Olomouc 1+ goals
86%
Sigma Olomouc 2+ goals
58%
Sigma Olomouc 3+ goals
31%
Vyškov 1+ goals
62%
Vyškov 2+ goals
25%
Vyškov 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Sigma Olomouc (draw refunded)
77%
Vyškov (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sigma Olomouc at home — creates 1.90, concedes 0.52 · 21 matches

Vyškov away — creates 1.43, concedes 2.00 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sigma Olomouc attack 1.90 + Vyškov defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.95

Vyškov attack 1.43 + Sigma Olomouc defence 0.52 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Sigma Olomouc scores more
60%
level
22%
Vyškov scores more
18%

Sigma Olomouc at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Sigma Olomouc will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Sigma Olomouc vs Vyškov

Sigma Olomouc beat Vyškov 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Hrište Slatinice in Slatinice.