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Sigma Olomouc II vs Viktorie Přerov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
FT
5 – 0
Viktorie Přerov
Viktorie Přerov
7/21/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Sigma Olomouc II85%
×Draw9%
Viktorie Přerov6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sigma Olomouc II
3.80
Viktorie Přerov
0.97

Sigma Olomouc II creates 292% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Sigma Olomouc II
3.60
Viktorie Přerov
1.33

allows per match

Sigma Olomouc II
0.60
Viktorie Přerov
4.00

finishing

Sigma Olomouc II+0.00on par
Viktorie Přerov+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sigma Olomouc II ↓

Viktorie Přerov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–13%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–18%
4–24%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (9%) · grid covers 73% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Sigma Olomouc II or draw
94%
Sigma Olomouc II or Viktorie Přerov
91%
Draw or Viktorie Přerov
15%

Winning margin

Sigma Olomouc II wins by 2+
70%
Viktorie Přerov wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Sigma Olomouc II 1+ goals
98%
Sigma Olomouc II 2+ goals
88%
Sigma Olomouc II 3+ goals
70%
Viktorie Přerov 1+ goals
62%
Viktorie Přerov 2+ goals
25%
Viktorie Přerov 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Sigma Olomouc II (draw refunded)
94%
Viktorie Přerov (draw refunded)
6%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sigma Olomouc II at home — creates 3.60, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Viktorie Přerov away — creates 1.33, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sigma Olomouc II attack 3.60 + Viktorie Přerov defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.80

Viktorie Přerov attack 1.33 + Sigma Olomouc II defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 85%?"

Sigma Olomouc II scores more
85%
level
9%
Viktorie Přerov scores more
6%

Sigma Olomouc II at 85% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 85% does not mean "Sigma Olomouc II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Sigma Olomouc II 5 – 0 Viktorie Přerov

Sigma Olomouc II beat Viktorie Přerov 5-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 21, 2020.