Shenyang Urban 0–1 Dalian Zhixing: Result & Stats

Shenyang Urban

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Dalian Zhixing

N. Stanciu 84'

4/22/2026

Super League · Round 7Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Shenyang Urban41%

×Draw24%

Dalian Zhixing35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Shenyang UrbanExpected goals in this matchDalian Zhixing

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

1.50

Shenyang Urban

1.63

Dalian Zhixing

1.50

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 18 away

1.60

creates per match

1.20

1.80

allows per match

1.66

creates per match

Shenyang Urban

1.60

Dalian Zhixing

1.20

allows per match

Shenyang Urban

1.80

Dalian Zhixing

1.66

-0.31scores less than expected

finishing

-0.14scores less than expected

finishing

Shenyang Urban-0.31scores less

Dalian Zhixing-0.14scores less

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shenyang Urban ↓

Dalian Zhixing →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Shenyang Urban or draw

65%

Shenyang Urban or Dalian Zhixing

76%

Draw or Dalian Zhixing

59%

Winning margin

Shenyang Urban wins by 2+

21%

Dalian Zhixing wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Shenyang Urban 1+ goals

80%

Shenyang Urban 2+ goals

48%

Shenyang Urban 3+ goals

22%

Dalian Zhixing 1+ goals

78%

Dalian Zhixing 2+ goals

44%

Dalian Zhixing 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Shenyang Urban (draw refunded)

54%

Dalian Zhixing (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shenyang Urban at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.80 · 7 matches

Dalian Zhixing away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.66 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shenyang Urban attack 1.60 + Dalian Zhixing defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.63

Dalian Zhixing attack 1.20 + Shenyang Urban defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Shenyang Urban scores more

41%

level

24%

Dalian Zhixing scores more

35%

Shenyang Urban at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Shenyang Urban will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

N. Stanciu

Dalian Zhixing · M

8.2

Match Events

46'

Zhang Huachen← Liao Jintao

57'

Takahiro Kunimoto

59'

A. Kouame← Yan Dinghao

71'

Luo Jing← Yang Mingrui

74'

Xu Dong← Li Haoran

83'

Chen Binbin← Li Tixiang

84'

N. Stanciu

90'

Jeffinho

90'

Huachen Zhang

90+3'

Li Ang← F. Acheampong

90+6'

Huang Shan← N. Stanciu

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ShenyangDalian

Overview

56%Possession44%

6Total Shots11

0.54Expected Goals (xG)1.28

4Corners6

15Fouls12

Shots

6Total Shots11

2On Target4

3Off Target4

1Blocked3

5Inside Box7

1Outside Box4

Passing

56%Possession44%

418Total Passes328

324Accurate Passes238

78%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

15Fouls12

2Yellow Cards1

2Offsides4