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Sheasham vs Chicken Inn — Premier Soccer League 2026

Sheasham
Sheasham
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Chicken Inn
Chicken Inn
3/18/2023Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 1Mandava Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Sheasham32%
×Draw34%
Chicken Inn34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sheasham
0.82
Chicken Inn
0.85

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 95 away

creates per match

Sheasham
0.76
Chicken Inn
0.88

allows per match

Sheasham
0.82
Chicken Inn
0.88

finishing

Sheasham+0.00on par
Chicken Inn+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Under
  • Under77
  • Over23

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheasham ↓

Chicken Inn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–019%
0–116%
0–27%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–15%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (19%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
81%19%1.5
50%50%2.5
23%77%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Sheasham or draw
66%
Sheasham or Chicken Inn
66%
Draw or Chicken Inn
68%

Winning margin

Sheasham wins by 2+
10%
Chicken Inn wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Sheasham 1+ goals
56%
Sheasham 2+ goals
20%
Sheasham 3+ goals
5%
Chicken Inn 1+ goals
57%
Chicken Inn 2+ goals
21%
Chicken Inn 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Sheasham (draw refunded)
49%
Chicken Inn (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheasham at home — creates 0.76, concedes 0.82 · 17 matches

Chicken Inn away — creates 0.88, concedes 0.88 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheasham attack 0.76 + Chicken Inn defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.82

Chicken Inn attack 0.88 + Sheasham defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 34%?"

Sheasham scores more
32%
level
34%
Chicken Inn scores more
34%

Chicken Inn at 34% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 34% does not mean "Chicken Inn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Sheasham 0–0 Chicken Inn

Sheasham and Chicken Inn drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on March 18, 2023.

The match was played at Mandava Stadium in Zvishavane.