Sharjah FC 0–3 Al Ain: Result & Stats | League #301

Sharjah FC

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 2

Al Ain

Mohamed Awad Alla 90+2'

K. Laba 45+5' (pen)

S. Rahimi 33'

5/12/2025

League #301 · Round 24Sharjah Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Sharjah FC17%

×Draw18%

Al Ain65%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sharjah FCExpected goals in this matchAl Ain

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

2.46

Sharjah FC

1.19

Al Ain

2.46

Al Ain creates 107% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

1.38

creates per match

3.67

1.25

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Sharjah FC

1.38

Al Ain

3.67

allows per match

Sharjah FC

1.25

Al Ain

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sharjah FC+0.00on par

Al Ain+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sharjah FC ↓

Al Ain →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–16%

0–28%

0–37%

0–44%

1

1–03%

1–18%

1–29%

1–38%

1–45%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–26%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

70%30%3.5

49%51%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

Sharjah FC or draw

35%

Sharjah FC or Al Ain

82%

Draw or Al Ain

83%

Winning margin

Sharjah FC wins by 2+

6%

Al Ain wins by 2+

43%

Team goals

Sharjah FC 1+ goals

70%

Sharjah FC 2+ goals

33%

Sharjah FC 3+ goals

12%

Al Ain 1+ goals

91%

Al Ain 2+ goals

70%

Al Ain 3+ goals

44%

Draw no bet

Sharjah FC (draw refunded)

21%

Al Ain (draw refunded)

79%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sharjah FC at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Al Ain away — creates 3.67, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sharjah FC attack 1.38 + Al Ain defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.19

Al Ain attack 3.67 + Sharjah FC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 2.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Sharjah FC scores more

17%

level

18%

Al Ain scores more

65%

Al Ain at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Al Ain will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

S. Rahimi

Al Ain · F

7.9

Match Events

25'

Firas Ben Al Arbi

33'

S. Rahimi↳ Alejandro Romero

45+3'

Maro Katinić

45+5'

K. LabaPenalty

46'

Marcus Meloni← O. Camara

46'

Majed Hassan← Mohammad Abdulbasit

46'

J. Kameni← Cho Yu-Min

55'

Abdalla Ghanim← Salem Sultan

73'

S. Gassama← K. Laba

73'

A. Niang← Yahia Nader

75'

Maro Katinić

75'

Maro Katinić

75'

Abdoul Traoré

78'

Khaled Ebraheim← F. Ben Arbi

85'

Guilherme Biro

88'

Mohammed Al Baloushi← Alejandro Romero

90+1'

Mohamed Awad Alla← S. Rahimi

90+1'

M. Sanabria← M. Palacios

90+2'

Mohamed Awad Alla

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SharjahAl

Overview

49%Possession51%

7Total Shots14

1Corners5

7Fouls10

Shots

7Total Shots14

2On Target7

3Off Target5

2Blocked2

3Inside Box8

4Outside Box6

Passing

49%Possession51%

427Total Passes439

364Accurate Passes373

85%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

Discipline

7Fouls10

4Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

4Offsides2