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Shao Jiang vs Gorilla of the Universe — Primeira Divisão 2026

Shao Jiang
Shao Jiang
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Gorilla of the Universe
Gorilla of the Universe
1/31/2026Primeira DivisãoPrimeira Divisão · Round 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Shao Jiang70%
×Draw14%
Gorilla of the Universe16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shao Jiang
3.94
Gorilla of the Universe
1.98

Shao Jiang creates 99% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 8 away

creates per match

Shao Jiang
4.37
Gorilla of the Universe
3.13

allows per match

Shao Jiang
0.84
Gorilla of the Universe
3.50

finishing

Shao Jiang+0.00on par
Gorilla of the Universe+0.00on par

Total goals

93%Over
  • Over93
  • Under7

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

84%Yes
  • Yes84
  • No16

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shao Jiang ↓

Gorilla of the Universe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–22%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–16%
4–26%
4–34%
4–42%

Most likely 3–1 (6%) · grid covers 68% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
93%7%3.5
82%18%4.5
67%33%

Double chance

Shao Jiang or draw
84%
Shao Jiang or Gorilla of the Universe
86%
Draw or Gorilla of the Universe
30%

Winning margin

Shao Jiang wins by 2+
52%
Gorilla of the Universe wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Shao Jiang 1+ goals
98%
Shao Jiang 2+ goals
89%
Shao Jiang 3+ goals
72%
Gorilla of the Universe 1+ goals
86%
Gorilla of the Universe 2+ goals
59%
Gorilla of the Universe 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Shao Jiang (draw refunded)
81%
Gorilla of the Universe (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
82%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shao Jiang at home — creates 4.37, concedes 0.84 · 19 matches

Gorilla of the Universe away — creates 3.13, concedes 3.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shao Jiang attack 4.37 + Gorilla of the Universe defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 3.94

Gorilla of the Universe attack 3.13 + Shao Jiang defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 1.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Shao Jiang scores more
70%
level
14%
Gorilla of the Universe scores more
16%

Shao Jiang at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Shao Jiang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Shao Jiang vs Gorilla of the Universe

Shao Jiang beat Gorilla of the Universe 3-0 in Primeira Divisão on January 31, 2026.