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Shamrock Rovers W vs Peamount United W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Shamrock Rovers W
Shamrock Rovers Wadvanced
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Peamount United W
Peamount United W
L. O'Leary 87'
A. O'Gorman 64'
L. Kelly 44'
6/22/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Quarter-finalsTallaght Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Shamrock Rovers W46%
×Draw23%
Peamount United W31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shamrock Rovers W
1.77
Peamount United W
1.41

Shamrock Rovers W creates 26% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

creates per match

Shamrock Rovers W
2.25
Peamount United W
1.57

allows per match

Shamrock Rovers W
1.25
Peamount United W
1.29

finishing

Shamrock Rovers W+0.00on par
Peamount United W+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shamrock Rovers W ↓

Peamount United W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Shamrock Rovers W or draw
69%
Shamrock Rovers W or Peamount United W
77%
Draw or Peamount United W
54%

Winning margin

Shamrock Rovers W wins by 2+
25%
Peamount United W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Shamrock Rovers W 1+ goals
83%
Shamrock Rovers W 2+ goals
53%
Shamrock Rovers W 3+ goals
26%
Peamount United W 1+ goals
76%
Peamount United W 2+ goals
41%
Peamount United W 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Shamrock Rovers W (draw refunded)
60%
Peamount United W (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shamrock Rovers W at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Peamount United W away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shamrock Rovers W attack 2.25 + Peamount United W defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.77

Peamount United W attack 1.57 + Shamrock Rovers W defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Shamrock Rovers W scores more
46%
level
23%
Peamount United W scores more
31%

Shamrock Rovers W at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Shamrock Rovers W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'
L. Kelly
49'
B. Watkins
64'
A. O'Gorman
72'
F. Owens← F. Owens
72'
S. Herron← S. Herron
72'
D. Beirne← D. Beirne
81'
A. Brierley← A. Brierley
87'
L. O'Leary
90+3'
E. Kelly← E. Kelly
90+3'
H. Martin← H. Martin
90+3'
A. Prizeman← A. Prizeman

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Shamrock Rovers W 3–0 Peamount United W

Shamrock Rovers W beat Peamount United W 3-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 22, 2024.

Goals: L. Kelly (44'), A. O'Gorman (64'), L. O'Leary (87').

The match was played at Tallaght Stadium in Dublin.