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SG Wattenscheid 09 vs Kleve — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SG Wattenscheid 09
SG Wattenscheid 09
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Kleve
Kleve
1/14/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

SG Wattenscheid 0952%
×Draw23%
Kleve25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.85
Kleve
1.23

SG Wattenscheid 09 creates 50% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 3 away

creates per match

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.71
Kleve
1.33

allows per match

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.14
Kleve
2.00

finishing

SG Wattenscheid 09+0.00on par
Kleve+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SG Wattenscheid 09 ↓

Kleve →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

SG Wattenscheid 09 or draw
75%
SG Wattenscheid 09 or Kleve
77%
Draw or Kleve
48%

Winning margin

SG Wattenscheid 09 wins by 2+
29%
Kleve wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

SG Wattenscheid 09 1+ goals
84%
SG Wattenscheid 09 2+ goals
55%
SG Wattenscheid 09 3+ goals
28%
Kleve 1+ goals
71%
Kleve 2+ goals
35%
Kleve 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

SG Wattenscheid 09 (draw refunded)
67%
Kleve (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SG Wattenscheid 09 at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

Kleve away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SG Wattenscheid 09 attack 1.71 + Kleve defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.85

Kleve attack 1.33 + SG Wattenscheid 09 defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

SG Wattenscheid 09 scores more
52%
level
23%
Kleve scores more
25%

SG Wattenscheid 09 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "SG Wattenscheid 09 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: SG Wattenscheid 09 1–1 Kleve

SG Wattenscheid 09 and Kleve drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 14, 2024.