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SG Wattenscheid 09 vs Eintracht Rheine — Oberliga - Westfalen 2020

SG Wattenscheid 09
SG Wattenscheid 09
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Eintracht Rheine
Eintracht Rheine
11/6/2025Oberliga - WestfalenOberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 14Lohrheidestadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

SG Wattenscheid 0952%
×Draw22%
Eintracht Rheine26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.94
Eintracht Rheine
1.33

SG Wattenscheid 09 creates 46% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 89 away

creates per match

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.65
Eintracht Rheine
1.54

allows per match

SG Wattenscheid 09
1.11
Eintracht Rheine
2.22

finishing

SG Wattenscheid 09+0.00on par
Eintracht Rheine+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SG Wattenscheid 09 ↓

Eintracht Rheine →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

SG Wattenscheid 09 or draw
74%
SG Wattenscheid 09 or Eintracht Rheine
78%
Draw or Eintracht Rheine
48%

Winning margin

SG Wattenscheid 09 wins by 2+
29%
Eintracht Rheine wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

SG Wattenscheid 09 1+ goals
86%
SG Wattenscheid 09 2+ goals
58%
SG Wattenscheid 09 3+ goals
30%
Eintracht Rheine 1+ goals
74%
Eintracht Rheine 2+ goals
38%
Eintracht Rheine 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

SG Wattenscheid 09 (draw refunded)
66%
Eintracht Rheine (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SG Wattenscheid 09 at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.11 · 72 matches

Eintracht Rheine away — creates 1.54, concedes 2.22 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SG Wattenscheid 09 attack 1.65 + Eintracht Rheine defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.94

Eintracht Rheine attack 1.54 + SG Wattenscheid 09 defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

SG Wattenscheid 09 scores more
52%
level
22%
Eintracht Rheine scores more
26%

SG Wattenscheid 09 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "SG Wattenscheid 09 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: SG Wattenscheid 09 vs Eintracht Rheine

SG Wattenscheid 09 beat Eintracht Rheine 1-0 in Oberliga - Westfalen on November 6, 2025.

The match was played at Lohrheidestadion in Bochum.