Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Cluj — Liga I 2026

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Preview
15:30
Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
7/26/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 2Stadionul Sepsi
Big match
39%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
model favours
39%25%36%

Universitatea Cluj score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe39%
×Draw25%
Universitatea Cluj36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.45
Universitatea Cluj
1.40

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 13 home / 30 away

creates per match

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.60
Universitatea Cluj
1.42

allows per match

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.38
Universitatea Cluj
1.29

finishing

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe-0.45scores less
Universitatea Cluj+0.15scores more

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe ↓

Universitatea Cluj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or draw
64%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or Universitatea Cluj
75%
Draw or Universitatea Cluj
61%

Winning margin

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins by 2+
18%
Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1+ goals
77%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2+ goals
42%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3+ goals
18%
Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals
75%
Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals
41%
Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (draw refunded)
51%
Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.38 · 13 matches

Universitatea Cluj away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.29 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe attack 1.60 + Universitatea Cluj defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.45

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.42 + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe scores more
39%
level
25%
Universitatea Cluj scores more
36%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Universitatea Cluj are unbeaten in 5 straight
  • Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.6 expected)
  • Their last 6 meetings averaged just 1.3 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Balanced
Universitatea Cluj
Defensively solid
50%Possession54%
77%Pass accuracy81%
10.1ShotsBiggest gap12.7
1.59xG1.39
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUniversitatea Cluj

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
2
Draws
2
Universitatea Cluj
Avg goals: 1.3BTTS: 17%
0–00–30–00–12–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Gheorghe
LDWWD
Cluj
DWDDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Universitatea Cluj

July 26, 2026: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe take on Universitatea Cluj in Liga I. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Universitatea Cluj at Stadionul Sepsi.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.