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Seosan Pioneer vs Namyangju — K4 League 2026

Seosan Pioneer
Seosan Pioneer
Preview
08:00
Namyangju
Namyangju
8/29/2026K4 LeagueK4 League · Round 20
44%
Namyangju
model favours
33%23%44%
1–1
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
65%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Seosan Pioneer33%
×Draw23%
Namyangju44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Seosan Pioneer
1.53
Namyangju
1.78

Namyangju creates 16% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Seosan Pioneer
1.40
Namyangju
1.17

allows per match

Seosan Pioneer
2.40
Namyangju
1.67

finishing

Seosan Pioneer+0.00on par
Namyangju+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Seosan Pioneer ↓

Namyangju →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Seosan Pioneer or draw
56%
Seosan Pioneer or Namyangju
77%
Draw or Namyangju
67%

Winning margin

Seosan Pioneer wins by 2+
16%
Namyangju wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Seosan Pioneer 1+ goals
78%
Seosan Pioneer 2+ goals
45%
Seosan Pioneer 3+ goals
20%
Namyangju 1+ goals
83%
Namyangju 2+ goals
53%
Namyangju 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Seosan Pioneer (draw refunded)
43%
Namyangju (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Seosan Pioneer at home — creates 1.40, concedes 2.40 · 5 matches

Namyangju away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Seosan Pioneer attack 1.40 + Namyangju defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.53

Namyangju attack 1.17 + Seosan Pioneer defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 1.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Seosan Pioneer scores more
33%
level
23%
Namyangju scores more
44%

Namyangju at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Namyangju will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Pioneer
WLLLL
Namyangju
LWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Seosan Pioneer host Namyangju

August 29, 2026: Seosan Pioneer take on Namyangju in K4 League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.