Sefwi All Stars 1–0 Skyy: Result & Stats

Sefwi All Stars

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Skyy

11/16/2025

Division One League · Round 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Sefwi All Stars56%

×Draw25%

Skyy19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sefwi All StarsExpected goals in this matchSkyy

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

0.80

Sefwi All Stars

1.60

Skyy

0.80

Sefwi All Stars creates 100% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.60

creates per match

0.93

0.67

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Sefwi All Stars

1.60

Skyy

0.93

allows per match

Sefwi All Stars

0.67

Skyy

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sefwi All Stars+0.00on par

Skyy+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sefwi All Stars ↓

Skyy →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Sefwi All Stars or draw

81%

Sefwi All Stars or Skyy

75%

Draw or Skyy

44%

Winning margin

Sefwi All Stars wins by 2+

30%

Skyy wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Sefwi All Stars 1+ goals

80%

Sefwi All Stars 2+ goals

47%

Sefwi All Stars 3+ goals

22%

Skyy 1+ goals

55%

Skyy 2+ goals

19%

Skyy 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Sefwi All Stars (draw refunded)

75%

Skyy (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sefwi All Stars at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Skyy away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sefwi All Stars attack 1.60 + Skyy defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.60

Skyy attack 0.93 + Sefwi All Stars defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Sefwi All Stars scores more

56%

level

25%

Skyy scores more

19%

Sefwi All Stars at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Sefwi All Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff