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SCR Altach vs Kufstein — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SCR Altach
SCR Altach
CANC
13:00
Kufstein
Kufstein
1/6/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5CASHPOINT Arena Kunstrasen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

SCR Altach53%
×Draw19%
Kufstein27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SCR Altach
2.47
Kufstein
1.75

SCR Altach creates 41% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 6 away

creates per match

SCR Altach
1.94
Kufstein
2.00

allows per match

SCR Altach
1.50
Kufstein
3.00

finishing

SCR Altach+0.00on par
Kufstein+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SCR Altach ↓

Kufstein →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

SCR Altach or draw
73%
SCR Altach or Kufstein
81%
Draw or Kufstein
47%

Winning margin

SCR Altach wins by 2+
33%
Kufstein wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

SCR Altach 1+ goals
91%
SCR Altach 2+ goals
70%
SCR Altach 3+ goals
44%
Kufstein 1+ goals
83%
Kufstein 2+ goals
52%
Kufstein 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

SCR Altach (draw refunded)
66%
Kufstein (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SCR Altach at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.50 · 16 matches

Kufstein away — creates 2.00, concedes 3.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SCR Altach attack 1.94 + Kufstein defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.47

Kufstein attack 2.00 + SCR Altach defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

SCR Altach scores more
53%
level
19%
Kufstein scores more
27%

SCR Altach at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "SCR Altach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SCR Altach host Kufstein

January 6, 2024: SCR Altach take on Kufstein in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

SCR Altach host Kufstein at CASHPOINT Arena Kunstrasen.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.