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Schötz vs Dietikon — 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 2019

Schötz
Schötz
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Dietikon
Dietikon
5/3/20251. Liga Classic - Group 21. Liga Classic - Group 2 · Group 2 - 27Fussballanlage Wissenhusen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Schötz47%
×Draw22%
Dietikon31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Schötz
1.92
Dietikon
1.53

Schötz creates 25% more chances

Season form · 86 home / 30 away

creates per match

Schötz
2.16
Dietikon
1.47

allows per match

Schötz
1.59
Dietikon
1.67

finishing

Schötz+0.00on par
Dietikon+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schötz ↓

Dietikon →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Schötz or draw
69%
Schötz or Dietikon
78%
Draw or Dietikon
53%

Winning margin

Schötz wins by 2+
26%
Dietikon wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Schötz 1+ goals
85%
Schötz 2+ goals
57%
Schötz 3+ goals
30%
Dietikon 1+ goals
78%
Dietikon 2+ goals
45%
Dietikon 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Schötz (draw refunded)
60%
Dietikon (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schötz at home — creates 2.16, concedes 1.59 · 86 matches

Dietikon away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.67 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schötz attack 2.16 + Dietikon defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.92

Dietikon attack 1.47 + Schötz defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Schötz scores more
47%
level
22%
Dietikon scores more
31%

Schötz at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Schötz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Schötz vs Dietikon

Schötz beat Dietikon 2-0 in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on May 3, 2025.

The match was played at Fussballanlage Wissenhusen in Schötz.