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Schott Mainz vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Schott Mainz
Schott Mainz
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
2/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Schott Mainz83%
×Draw10%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Schott Mainz
3.77
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
1.06

Schott Mainz creates 256% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Schott Mainz
4.20
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
1.33

allows per match

Schott Mainz
0.80
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
3.33

finishing

Schott Mainz+0.00on par
Rot-Weiß Walldorf+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 85Under: 1585%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 64No: 3664%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schott Mainz ↓

Rot-Weiß Walldorf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–14%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–18%
4–24%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (8%) · grid covers 74% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
68%32%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Schott Mainz or draw
93%
Schott Mainz or Rot-Weiß Walldorf
90%
Draw or Rot-Weiß Walldorf
17%

Winning margin

Schott Mainz wins by 2+
67%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Schott Mainz 1+ goals
97%
Schott Mainz 2+ goals
88%
Schott Mainz 3+ goals
70%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1+ goals
65%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf 2+ goals
29%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Schott Mainz (draw refunded)
93%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schott Mainz at home — creates 4.20, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Rot-Weiß Walldorf away — creates 1.33, concedes 3.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schott Mainz attack 4.20 + Rot-Weiß Walldorf defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 3.77

Rot-Weiß Walldorf attack 1.33 + Schott Mainz defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Schott Mainz scores more
83%
level
10%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf scores more
7%

Schott Mainz at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Schott Mainz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Schott Mainz vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf

Schott Mainz beat Rot-Weiß Walldorf 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 10, 2026.