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Schott Jena vs Einheit Rudolstadt — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Schott Jena
Schott Jena
FT
3 – 2
HT: 3 – 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
Einheit Rudolstadt
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Schott Jena28%
×Draw17%
Einheit Rudolstadt56%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Schott Jena
2.54
Einheit Rudolstadt
3.54

Einheit Rudolstadt creates 39% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Schott Jena
1.33
Einheit Rudolstadt
0.75

allows per match

Schott Jena
6.33
Einheit Rudolstadt
3.75

finishing

Schott Jena+0.00on par
Einheit Rudolstadt+0.00on par

Total goals

94%Over
  • Over94
  • Under6

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

89%Yes
  • Yes89
  • No11

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schott Jena ↓

Einheit Rudolstadt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–22%
0–32%
0–42%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–24%
1–35%
1–44%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–25%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–24%
3–35%
3–44%
4
4–00%
4–12%
4–23%
4–33%
4–43%

Most likely 2–3 (6%) · grid covers 69% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
94%6%3.5
84%16%4.5
70%30%

Double chance

Schott Jena or draw
44%
Schott Jena or Einheit Rudolstadt
83%
Draw or Einheit Rudolstadt
72%

Winning margin

Schott Jena wins by 2+
15%
Einheit Rudolstadt wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

Schott Jena 1+ goals
92%
Schott Jena 2+ goals
72%
Schott Jena 3+ goals
46%
Einheit Rudolstadt 1+ goals
97%
Einheit Rudolstadt 2+ goals
86%
Einheit Rudolstadt 3+ goals
66%

Draw no bet

Schott Jena (draw refunded)
33%
Einheit Rudolstadt (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
87%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schott Jena at home — creates 1.33, concedes 6.33 · 3 matches

Einheit Rudolstadt away — creates 0.75, concedes 3.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schott Jena attack 1.33 + Einheit Rudolstadt defence 3.75 → ÷2 → 2.54

Einheit Rudolstadt attack 0.75 + Schott Jena defence 6.33 → ÷2 → 3.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Schott Jena scores more
28%
level
17%
Einheit Rudolstadt scores more
56%

Einheit Rudolstadt at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Einheit Rudolstadt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Schott Jena 3–2 Einheit Rudolstadt

Schott Jena beat Einheit Rudolstadt 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.