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Scheiblingkirchen vs Zwettl — Landesliga - Niederosterreich 2019

Scheiblingkirchen
Scheiblingkirchen
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Zwettl
Zwettl
5/9/2026Landesliga - NiederosterreichLandesliga - Niederosterreich · Niederösterreich - 25Pittentalstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 71+ matches

Scheiblingkirchen55%
×Draw23%
Zwettl22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Scheiblingkirchen
1.79
Zwettl
1.05

Scheiblingkirchen creates 70% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 85 away

creates per match

Scheiblingkirchen
1.86
Zwettl
1.21

allows per match

Scheiblingkirchen
0.90
Zwettl
1.73

finishing

Scheiblingkirchen+0.00on par
Zwettl+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Scheiblingkirchen ↓

Zwettl →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Scheiblingkirchen or draw
78%
Scheiblingkirchen or Zwettl
77%
Draw or Zwettl
45%

Winning margin

Scheiblingkirchen wins by 2+
31%
Zwettl wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Scheiblingkirchen 1+ goals
83%
Scheiblingkirchen 2+ goals
53%
Scheiblingkirchen 3+ goals
26%
Zwettl 1+ goals
65%
Zwettl 2+ goals
28%
Zwettl 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Scheiblingkirchen (draw refunded)
71%
Zwettl (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Scheiblingkirchen at home — creates 1.86, concedes 0.90 · 71 matches

Zwettl away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.73 · 85 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Scheiblingkirchen attack 1.86 + Zwettl defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.79

Zwettl attack 1.21 + Scheiblingkirchen defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Scheiblingkirchen scores more
55%
level
23%
Zwettl scores more
22%

Scheiblingkirchen at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Scheiblingkirchen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Niederosterreich: Scheiblingkirchen 3–1 Zwettl

Scheiblingkirchen beat Zwettl 3-1 in Landesliga - Niederosterreich on May 9, 2026.

The match was played at Pittentalstadion in Scheiblingkirchen.